The Race Before the Race – Understanding UCI Cyclocross Points

 

2010 Providence CX - T. Johnson at the Start

Photo by Jay Walsh

For most elite cyclocross racers, the most critical part of any cyclocross race is the start. Being one of the first riders through the first turn or major technical section provides a huge advantage as things often bunch-up behind the first group—and as we saw last Sunday in Ruddervoorde when a massive crash in the first corner effectively ended the chances of several favorites. In a matter of moments, a rider can go from contending for the win to being ten to twenty seconds behind. With the start being so important, the obvious question is how does one get to start on the front row? No, there’s no chaotic “race before the race”.  The answer is actually rather simple: UCI points determine who starts where.

Elite riders compete throughout the year for UCI points in order to improve their start position. The more UCI points a rider has, the closer to the front they start. However, not all races offer the same amount of UCI points. Races are categorized by prestige, history, and prize money: Category 2 (C2), Category 1 (C1), World Cup (WC), National Championship, Continental Championship, or World Championship.  Thus, the better a rider does at higher category races, the more UCI points he or she receives.

Most races are Category 2 races for a variety of reasons, the most important of which is cost. In order to hold a UCI-sanctioned cyclocross race, a promoter must secure and provide a significant amount of money up front, just to get on the UCI calendar. Also, all UCI-sanctioned races require a minimum prizes to 25 places, include minimum payout amounts. For example, it takes about $800-$1,000 for C2 race to be placed on the UCI’s calendar. The minimum prize payout for a C2 race is $2,232—for a C1 race the figure doubles.

Due to tight sponsorship dollars and a lack of major media exposure, it’s easy to see why in the United States 90% of all UCI cyclocross races are C2 events. In Europe, there are significantly more C1 races because they have the ability to attract large TV contracts and charge admission to the fans. Also, an interesting rule states there can be no C1 races on the same day as World Cup races—thus knocking nearly half a dozen potential C1 dates off the US calendar. Luckily, one can organize a C2 race on the same day as a World Cup race so long as it’s not in the same country.

Beyond a limited amount of categorized races, there are also restrictions on the amount of points a rider can earn via results in a certain category. While the UCI rankings take into account all points a rider earns, their start position is based on a calculated point total that limits the number of C1 and C2 points a rider can use for his or her start position.  Only the best six C1 and best five C2 race results count toward a rider’s start point totals. World Cup races have no cap. On one hand, this keeps things fair by giving riders a chance to see the front of the start grid by the end of the season; on the other hand, it severely limits the options better riders have to acquire UCI points, especially in nations—like the USA—with calendars filled primarily with C2 events. Thus, a rider like Tim Johnson has already maxed-out the amount of points he can earn from C2 races, since he already has more than five C2 victories.  If Johnson wants to improve or solidify his standing—he can only do it with results in C1 races or better—like World Cups.

That’s a lot to digest, but in order to make this a bit easier to understand, let’s take a look at two of the Americans who travelled to Europe last weekend to compete in the first round of the World Cup in Aigle (Tim Johnson and Jeremy Powers), Switzerland, and compare them to a prominent US rider who did not (Ryan Trebon).

To better understand the impact of UCI points and the effect of one round of the World Cup let’s compare Tim Johnson and Jeremy Powers (who competed in Aigle) to Ryan Trebon (who did not).

Here’s a breakdown of the point structure for each category:

Place            World Cup            Category 1            Category 2

1                    200                         80                          40

2                    160                         60                          30

3                    140                         40                          20

4                    120                         30                          15

5                    110                          25                           10

6                    100                         20                           8

7                    90                           17                            6

8                    80                           15                            4

9                    70                           12                            2

10                  60                           10                            1

11                   58                           8

12                   56                        6

13                   54                        4

14                   52                        2

15                   50*                      1

* Points decrease by 2 through 20th place, then by 1 from 25th to 50th-place.  Each rider beyond 50th gets 5 points.

Tim Johnson’s UCI-point total going into last weekend was 336. However, he’s won five C2 races already, meaning his starting total is actually less since he’s maxed-out his C2 points. So subtract the 30 points he got for second in Gloucester and 40 for one of his six victories, and his actual point total was 266. Johnson picked-up 26th-place in Aigle, netting 34 points—more points than the second-place rider in the C2 races at Granogue, Delaware. Plus, since there’s no cap on World Cup points, Johnson can use those points for the rest of the season. So for the USGP this weekend in Kentucky, Johnson has 300 points going toward his place on the starting grid.

Surprisingly, Johnson’s teammate, Jeremy Powers, had a larger point total going into last weekend. Powers is in a bit of a jam though because he has won two C1 and two C2 races. So, while his point totals aren’t maxed-out, he can only place well in a few more of each and have them count toward his start position. At the moment, Powers can use his three C1 results (80 from Ohio, 80 from Wisconsin, and 17 from Vegas). He’s also done exactly five C2 races, and while he hasn’t won them all, those are his five best C2 results—totaling 130 points. If Powers had raced and won both races in Granogue last weekend, he would have added only 30 points to his starting total. His two victories would replace his second-place from Gloucester and his third-place from Ohio. Even worse, he would then be one win away from maxing-out his C2 points entirely. By travelling to Switzerland and finishing 20th, he gained 40 points (the equivalent of winning a C2 race). And like Johnson, he will keep those points for the duration of the season.  As a result, he heads into this weekend with 377 points—an impressive total.

On the other hand, one rider elected to stay home last weekend, choosing rest over racing and travel: Ryan Trebon. He’s struggled to find wins this season, but Trebon still has amassed 227 UCI points—90 from C1 races and 137 from C2 races. However, he’s already finished six C2 races, so we need to drop his worst result (2 points), bringing his starting total down to 225. If he were to have raced last weekend in Delaware, he could have dropped his two worst C2 results (a third and a fourth) to gain a net of 45 points, sending him into this weekend with 272 points toward his starting position.  By electing not to race though, his point total stays at 225, leaving him 75-points behind Johnson and 152-points behind Powers. As a result, Johnson and Powers—Trebon’s toughest competition—will always get called to the starting grid ahead him.

By now it should be clear why Team Cyclocrossworld.com went to Europe last weekend. With Johnson, Powers, and teammate Jamey Driscoll all finishing the first World Cup race in Aigel, Switzerland, they drastically increased their overall and starting grid UCI points—all but guaranteeing their places on the first row at the start of every US race.  And it could get worse—for their competition.

With only three C1 races left in the United States, all of the top remaining riders should max-out their C2 point allotments within the coming weeks. As a result, Johnson and Powers have discussed going back to Europe later this fall just to maintain their fine starting positions.  An interesting tactic for sure, but if it works they’ll ensure that the biggest threat to their domestic supremacy has to play catch-up in every race they enter.

Have a great weekend—share your comments below.

 

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International Cyclocross Report & Power Ranking – Week #4

The European cross contingent headed to Aigle, Switzerland for another showdown on Sunday, only to watch Zdenek Stybar break away from a star-studded field to take yet another victory. Stybar’s acceleration on lap seven (of eleven) went unmatched and the World Champion strolled across the line alone, 10-seconds ahead of a surprisingly resilient Niels Albert. Kevin Pauwels came in a few seconds later, followed by Klaas Vantornout and Dieter Vanthourenhout.  By the end of the day, Belgium took four of the top five positions—except the one that matters most.


Round One provided a fast, technical course, leading to an extremely tactical battle during the first half of the race. Nearly a dozen riders shuffled among the leading and chasing groups, with several men trying to make something happen. Last weekend’s standout, Bart Aernouts, made a few attempts to up the pace early, as did Belgian Champion Sven Nys. Eventually though, both riders dropped to the back of the unusually large chase group—and that’s when Stybar made his move. The Czech powerhouse quickly whittled the lead group down to nothing and putting 20 seconds into his closest competitors.


Behind, former World Champion Niels Albert steadily rode himself to the front of the chase group before dropping compatriot Kevin Pauwels on the penultimate lap. However, no matter how hard he tried, Alberts couldn’t close the gap the Stybar. Behind the first three, Vantornout escaped from Vanthourenhout in the battle for fourth—he came across the line 6 seconds after Pauwels. Sven Nys faded drastically over the last few laps, coming across the line ninth, 43 seconds back.


Perennial fifth-place World Cup finisher, Francis Mourey, rebounded from a poor start to finish sixth, missing fifth by two seconds. Bart Wellens and Bart Aernouts both showed superb form, with the latter taking several huge pulls at the front early in the race. However, both riders suffered major mechanicals and as a result never regained contact with the leaders. The American invasion was a welcomed change in Aigle, but none of the four riders were in contention for a top-ten. Jonathan Page came across the line as the top American in 19th place, over two-and-a-half minuets behind. Jeremy Powers was next finishing 20th. Jamey Driscoll and Tim Johnson finished 24th and 26th, respectively.


Before the fireworks in Aigle, several key players used a mid-week race in Ardooie, Belgium as a warm-up. Stybar equaled Niels Albert’s record of five consecutive wins while wearing the rainbow skinsuit by beating Sven Nys in a sprint finish. Klaas Vantornout escaped a six-man chase group to finish third ahead of Albert and Rob Peeters. While many thought it would be a preview of the racing in Aigle, clearly it was not.


So after another top-notch European showdown and another impressive victory, Stybar’s clearly the best rider in Europe, right?  But where does everyone else fall after the first round of the UCI World Cup? Time to find out:


International Power Rankings


1. Zdenek Stybar (1) – Stybar’s season has been stellar thus far—he’s started six races and won six races and now leads every major series and ranking in Europe. However, as we saw last year, the European season is long; it’s not how you start, it’s how you finish. Niels Albert crushed it in the first half of last year only to be left with nothing after fading midway through the season. Time will tell if Stybar can avoid a similar fate.


2. Niels Albert (7) – In a bit less than two laps, Albert halved Stybar’s gap. Granted, Stybar was playing it safe to ensure a victory, but Albert looked quite good. I’m not going to say he’s back—yet, at least—but after an injury-filled summer coupled with the disappointment from last season, the young Belgian looks ready to pounce.


3. Klaas Vantornout (5)  – Vantornout bounced back from last week’s disappointing ninth-place finish by winning the sprint for fourth in Switzerland.  If Albert truly is back though, I think Vantornout might have to start settling for third—if he can beat the rest of his Belgian colleagues.


4. Bart Aernouts (2) – A dropped chain in the first half of Sunday’s race ruined Aernouts’ chance at a podium finish. He was one of a select few who even attempted to take over the pace making from Stybar—and he looked very comfortable doing so. After his technical, he rallied to finish twelfth. But if it weren’t for the mechanical, I have no doubt he would have finished on the podium.


5. Kevin Pauwels (6) – Pauwels is definitely one of the top-5 riders in Europe right now. On any given day I feel he can contend for the podium.  But I’m not as confident at this point in the season that he can contend for the win. But as I mentioned before, it’s a long season and I still expect Pauwels to pick-up a few big victories. For now he settles into the fifth spot.


6. Bart Wellens (4) – Much like Aernouts, Wellens looked like he was poised for a solid result Sunday. And, much like Aernouts, a dropped chain knocked him out of contention for a podium finish. Wellens battled back though, and within a lap nearly made it back to the lead group. However, the effort proved to be too much as he faded a bit before a last lap surge put him in tenth. Regardless, Wellens looks more and more like the 4-time World Champion we once knew.


7. Sven Nys (3) – I think it’s time to start judging Sven Nys for what he is—not what he was. He used to be unstoppable; he used to obliterate the competition; he used to be a guaranteed victor. Now, Nys is nothing more than one of nearly a dozen riders trying to figure how to beat Stybar. Nys looked solid early on Sunday, but dropped to the back of the lead group midway through the race before slowly drifting out of the picture. His ninth place was a solid result—but far from we have come to expect from the Belgian.


8. Francis Mourey (10) – The French Champion seemed to struggle throughout the entire race Sunday, dangling off the back of the lead group and for a while not even looking comfortable in the chase group. However, he fought through and finished sixth, further proving that when the big races arrive, he finds a way to perform. His impressive US start to the season continues to pay off. With some down time coming, it will be interesting to see how he fares when things heat up again.


9. Steve Chainel (8) – I keep waiting for Chainel to fade—and he never does. Consistently at the front Sunday before things blew apart, Chainel later found himself at the back of a three-man group before coming across the line in eighth. Last year, Chaniel struggled to finish inside the top-10 at World Cup races—clearly he’s stepped it up a notch this year. The real question: can he remain consistent?


10(tie). Dieter Vanthourenhout (n/a) – Vanthourenhout’s fifth-place finish in Aigle was impressive, but hardly surprising. The Belgian has only finished outside the top-10 only once this year (13th last weekend in Ruddervoorde). As with the rest of the riders on this list, consistency is key. Hopefully his fifth-place Sunday means that he’s in the rankings to stay.


10(tie). Tom Meeusen (9) – Meeusen missed-out on the first round of the World Cup only because he’s Belgian. The decision to leave the first year elite rider at home was pretty controversial, but with all but one of the Belgians finishing inside the top-10 (Aernouts finished twelfth), the decision appears to have been a smart one. Unfortunately, it left a big gap in young Belgian’s schedule and his chance to improve has suffered a bit of a setback. It will be interesting to see how he responds—whenever he races.


Although it’s a lengthy season in Europe, there’s no rest for the weary. All eyes will once again be Zdenek Stybar as he returns to his home nation for Round Two of the World Cup in Plzen. While the home crowd will be pulling for the World Champion, the Belgian contingent looks to knock Stybar off the top step of the podium. Belgium’s best hope is Niels Albert, but it’s also a perfect time for Sven Nys to assert his authority in an important event. Following Round Two of the World Cup, there’s a weeknight race in the Netherlands that usually draws top stars, along with another race in the Czech Republic the following Thursday. But for now, it’s all about Plzen.

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Domestic Cyclocross Report & Power Ranking – Week #5

2010 Granogue Day 1 - J. Anthony

Photo by Anthony Skorochod

With the bulk of the elite US cross scene taking a break—minus the World Cup-bound Cyclocrossworld.com team—Delaware’s two-day UCI race at Granogue provided ample opportunities for lesser-known riders to shine. The odds-on favorite was current MAC leader Valentin Scherz, who stormed onto the scene last year at Granogue. However, this year the U23 star was outdone by 7-time National Champion, Jesse Anthony. Also throwing their hats in the ring were New England standout Justine Lindine, and young Adam McGrath.


Anthony arrived in Delaware fresh from a bit of rest as he transitioned from a lengthy road season to what he hopes will be a successful cross season. If Saturday was any indication, he has much to look forward to as the New Englander took off from a small group on the second lap and never looked back. Behind, McGrath and Lindine worked well together, fending off Scherz and the rest of a talented Mid-Atlantic field. McGrath won the sprint for second and Scherz came in a bit later, finishing fourth.


Day Two at Granogue provided riders with a less windy, but more technical course. With the technical nature of the course, most expected Scherz to grab the win and his first UCI victory. However, Sunday’s course was about 300 meters too long for the young Swiss rider. Jesse Anthony tried to take-off much like the previous day’s race, but was quickly reeled back in by Scherz and Lindine. Scherz was the next rider to make a move and with about 3 laps to go, he appeared to have the race wrapped-up. However, Anthony slowly crawled his way across the gap and caught Scherz with less than half a lap to go. The duo went toe-to-toe to the line, with Anthony pulling away within the last 300 meters. Lindine held-on for third.


While Anthony stole the show in Granogue, another US standout took on Canada’s top CX’ers in Toronto as Davide Frattini picked-up a pair of UCI wins—bringing his total this year to four. With Canadian National Champion Geoff Kabush noticeably absent, the rest of the country did their best to stop the Italian. Behind, Derrick St. John settled for second both days while Aaron Schooler and Andrew Watson finished third on Saturday and Sunday respectively.


Meanwhile, Cyclocrossworld.com’s trio of Jeremy Powers, Jamey Driscoll, and Tim Johnson travelled to Aigle, Switzerland for Round One of the UCI World Cup. Each member of the trio finished inside the top-30 with Powers coming across the line in 20th, Driscoll 24th, and Johnson 26th.  All in all, it was a successful trip.  Look for more coverage and a complete breakdown of the race in the International Power Rankings Thursday.


With many of the top riders taking breaks, it was an interesting weekend in the Power Rankings. Nobody new has made it onto the list, despite solid rides from Justin Lindine and Derrick St. John. Even Jesse Anthony’s two wins weren’t enough for him to crack the top-ten—at least not yet. In fact, the top four riders remain in the same places for the second week in a row. Let’s see where everyone lines-up before this weekend’s Kentucky showdown.


Domestic Power Rankings – Week #5


1. Tim Johnson (1) – Although Johnson’s World Cup showing was a bit of a disappointment, he still put in a solid race. He finished around 20-seconds behind Powers, but admitted he had horrible legs. Regardless, Johnson is still the best racer in the US and should prove it at this weekend’s rounds of the USGP in Kentucky.


2. Jeremy Powers (2) – In Switzerland, Powers came-in as the second-best US finisher, picking-up a top-20 result in the process. Believe it or not, Powers has accumulated more UCI points this season than anyone else in Kentucky.


3. Ryan Trebon (3) – Trebon decided to take the weekend off and head back to the West Coast before this weekend’s round of the USGP. However, while rest and relaxation are important, he missed-out on valuable UCI points in Delaware. Needless to say, we will soon find out how that plan works out.


4. Jamey Driscoll (4) – The third member of the Cyclocrossworld.com team managed a solid 24th place in Aigle—and his devotion to his education should be noted. After skipping a race last weekend to take care of his studies, he flew to Europe late in the week after a few exams.  He left almost as soon as the race was over to return to Vermont for more classwork. Imagine if he were a full-time professional!


5. Davide Frattini (9) – Frattini has put any questions about consistency or his ability to win races behind him with another pair of UCI wins in Toronto. While the field was decidedly weaker than what he will face this weekend, that kind of success is a huge confidence booster. Perhaps he can land on the podium in Kentucky.


6. Valentin Scherz (6) – Scherz looked poised to win on Sunday after some mishaps and missteps left him settling for fourth on Saturday—unfortunately it wasn’t meant to be.  Still, Scherz continues to get closer to the top step of the podium each week. It will be interesting to see how his progression—and disappointment—translates into results this weekend.


7. Todd Wells (10) – After yet another week of rest, Wells will be back in action with the rest of the best in Kentucky. Last year he took some time off before embarking on an extremely successful end to the season. Despite the time away, Wells has the ability to win this weekend—as long as his legs aren’t stale from the lack of racing.


8. Luca Damiani (5) – Damiani was one of the many US cross racers who used this weekend as a break before the next rounds of the USGP.  Like Scherz, he continues to get closer to the top step of the podium, but will have to face the cream of the crop in Kentucky. I think a top-5 on either day would be a sign of continued success.


9. Tristan Schouten (7) – The USGP series is far from over and Schouten is one of a few riders with an outside chance of winning the overall. I don’t think that he will, but his consistent results leave him positioned for a breakthrough should other men falter.


10. Geoff Kabush (8) – Instead of wearing his national colors in Toronto, Kabush took the weekend off before making a run at a USGP overall. He’s another rider whose results have continually improved over the past few weeks. I think a win might be out of the question, but a strong ride could put him on the podium.


Obviously all the stars will be at Rounds Three and Four of the USGP in Louisville, Kentucky competing on an early version of the 2013 World Championship course. That said, the New England crowd might be a little thin in Louisville due to a pair of UCI races in New Gloucester, ME. Anybody looking for some “easy” UCI points—and those in contention for the NECCS title will most likely head there. It should be a fun weekend.


Share your comments below.

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Monday Musette – Lombardy, Etc.

2010 Tour of Lombardy - Gilbert Wins

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Here’s your Monday Musette for this week:


1. There’s not much we can say about Philippe Gilbert’s repeat win at the Tour of Lombardy Saturday—the strongest rider in the race lived up to his pre-race billing.  The rain and cold helped keep the race together going up the Sormano, but broke it apart on the way down—much to delight of the powerful Belgian.


Michele Scarponi was smart to follow as Gilbert rolled off the front, seemingly to keep himself out of trouble.  While some might say things would have been different had Nibali not crashed, he did—and keeping your bike upright is an important part of racing.  Gilbert deserves credit for racing attentively and positioning himself well to take the win.  Now he sets his sights firmly on next spring—I hope he manages to take at least one of the Belgian Monuments.


2. As for Scarponi, 2010 will go down as a series of near misses for the Androni-Giacatolli rider.  He narrowly lost Tirreno-Adriatico, finished one spot away from the podium at the Giro, and now is the runner-up at Lombardia—a terrific string of results—or missed opportunities.


In other news:


3. More information keeps arriving about Team Luxembourg.  Along with various Saxo Bank and other refugees, Trek, and Mercedes Benz, the team now has 3 new sport directors.  But while we know the name of the team’s main benefactor, the Luxembourg businessman Flavio Becca, we still know nothing of which of his ventures will lend its name to the squad.


4. Did you read this recent interview with Michael Rogers?  Credit the Australian for being one of few riders to have an accurate perception of his own talents and skills.  He’s right—he has the ability to win any one-week stage race he enters.  One can only wonder what terrific racing we would witness if others followed his lead.


5. This is a great video from Flemish TV of former professional and current kermesse rider, Patrick Cocquyt.  Note the use of a garage as a locker room and the quintessential, “You have to ride, eh?”  Thanks to Joe Parkin for finding this one.


6. Former Cervelo TestTeam rider Stefan Denifl has been offered a contract by Team Radio Shack, but has proven not willing to sign until he’s given some assurances regarding the team’s future.  It’s true that beggars can’t be choosers, but can you blame him?


7. And last but not least, Specialized has taken a page from Colnago’s late-1990’s marketing manual and is now the official bike (and in some cases, accessory) supplier to Astana, Saxo Bank, and HTC-High Road.  Contractual obligation, desperate measure, or does Specialized really hope to win every race on the world calendar?


Share your comments below.


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2010 Giro di Lombardia/Tour of Lombardy – Preview



2010 Giro di Piemonte - Gilbert Wins

Fotoreporter Sirotti



Saturday’s Giro di Lombardia, the “race of falling leaves,” effectively closes the 2010 road season.   While a few events remain on the calendar, most teams and riders will have called it a year by tomorrow evening.  But despite its end-of-calendar time slot, Lombardy’s a prize any rider would love to take—it’s one of the sport’s five monuments after all.


This year’s event features a new parcours—one that’s longer and harder than in years past.  Race organizers RCS have inserted a new climb—the Colma di Sormano—shortly after the Ghisallo, adding 9 more kilometers of pure climbing to the traditional finale.  The Sormano’s addition increases the difficulty—and importance—of the race’s penultimate hour, as gaps earned by the end of the Ghisallo-Sormano double might be hard to overcome over the race’s remaining 40 kilometers.


Picking favorites for the race is relatively easy task as few riders have the stamina (by the end of long season) to peak for it—most participants are just filling roster spots or hoping for a last-gasp result to earn a new or better contract of the following season.  This year’s no different, as only a handful of riders come to Lombardy with a realistic shot at winning.  Let’s take a look:


5-Leaf Favorite

Philippe Gilbert

Philippe Gilbert returns to Lombardy with the same form that saw him take last year’s edition, albeit with fewer wins to show for it.  His impressive victory in Thursday’s Giro del Piemonte sent an impressive message to his rivals, but I wonder how the new course will affect him, as the Sormano might be a bit too long and steep for an all-rounder like Gilbert.  Will the climb’s 13 kilometers of steep pitches favor grand tour riders more than classics specialists?  In his favor, Gilbert has the strongest team in the event, an important fact considering he might need to a teammate cover any Sormano moves while the rest work to close any significant gaps that might have been created.  If he makes the lead group after the Sormano, it’s his race to lose.


4-Leaf Favorites

Vincenzo Nibali

Nibali’s an attractive candidate for the win tomorrow.  If he has managed to hold his fitness from his September Vuelta victory, he’ll be a force to be reckoned with in Lombardy.  His attack at Worlds bodes well for his chances, as does his fifth-place in Saturday’s Giro dell’Emilia.  A terrific climber and an even better descender, the new parcours suits his strengths.  If he and a select group manage to gap Gilbert and the other more traditional classics contenders, look for Nibali to add important win to an already impressive season.


Cadel Evans

I was hoping Piemonte would have provided an indication as to the level of Evans’ fitness, but he dropped-out mid-race, clearly saving himself for Lombardy.  And while I can’t blame him for the decision—he’s raced more or less non-stop this season including peaks for the Ardennes, the Giro, the Tour de France, and Worlds—I’m wondering if he’s several steps below where he needs to be to contend.  That said, he rode well at Worlds and appears to be guarding his fitness carefully—a win for BMC’s Australian would be anything but a surprise.


Joaquin Rodriguez

Katusha’s Rodriguez is another rider hoping his Vuelta form is lingering.  One of the strongest climbers in the Spanish grand tour, Rodriguez took a mountain stage on his way to finishing 4th-overall.  He then skipped Worlds—an interesting choice considering his track record in recent years.  Clearly Rodriguez hopes the time off—and the lack of frequent flyer miles—will benefit in Lombardy.  For the world’s #1-ranked rider, a win would put the finishing touch on the best of his career.


Daniel Martin

Last year, Daniel Martin finished 8th in the Tour of Lombardy, a result that has been overshadowed by his success this season.  After a solid second-place in last Saturday’s tough Giro dell’ Emilia, Martin takes the starting line Saturday in Milan as one of the top favorites for the win.  Martin should be able to capitalize on the presence of several favorites with a higher profile.  If I were he, I’d mark Nibali, a rider with similar strengths.


3-Leaf Favorites

Michele Scarponi

Scarponi’s been rather quiet since the Giro d’Italia—but don’t count him out Saturday.  He finished third in Emilia and leads a surprisingly powerful Androni Giacattoli squad.  A canny rider capable of following both the pure climbers and the aggressive all-rounders, Scarponi could prove tough to shake by the end of Saturday’s race.


Alexandre Kolobnev

If there’s justice in the world, Kolobnev will take the win Saturday.  The Russian champion is quickly becoming this generation’s Micheal Boogerd—with even less wins to show for his aggressive late-race efforts.  The difficult Sormano might force Kolobnev to take a backseat to his teammate Rodriguez though, but if the race comes back together, look for Kolobnev to be the first man glued to Gilbert’s wheel (if his teammate Pozzato doesn’t beat him there first).


Xavier Tondo

Cervelo’s new World Champion, Thor Hushovd, might attract more paparazzi, but Xavi Tondo deserves all the respect–at least in this race.  After an fine 6th-place ride in the Vuelta, the Spanirad comes to Italy hoping to improve upon his impressive September.  All signs point to a fine finish in Bergamo–does he have the form to win?


2-Leaf Favorites

Samuel Sanchez

Sanchez took the opposite approach of many of the contenders for this season’s fall classics: he skipped the Vuelta, but travelled to Worlds.  It remains to be seen if the strategy will pay-off, but with a second-place finish last year (albeit with a Vuelta in his legs), Sanchez is not one to ignore.


Jakob Fuglsang

Fuglsang’s been quietly riding himself into top shape over the past few weeks, and now the talented young Dane seems to be on the verge of a breakthrough victory.  More of an all-rounder, I wonder if he’ll be able to follow the best climbers on the Sormano.  If he can, he’s a certain podium contender, and if things go just right, could take the victory.


And my pick to grab the win?  For some reason, my gut tells me Vincenzo Nibali has one more big victory in his legs this season.  The Sormano’s expected to be a climb of over 2025 minutes—that could be enough to drop the likes of Gilbert and Kolobnev.  Nibali’s Liquigas team knows how to control a race—as evidenced by their two grand tour victories this season.  If they ride a tempo that sheds the all-rounders, look for Nibali to be the fastest of a lead group containing many of this year’s grand tour protagonists.


And what about you—who are your picks for the final monument of the year?


Share your picks and comments below.

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International Cyclocross Report & Power Ranking – Week #3

2010 Neerpelt CX - B. Aernouts

T. VanWichelen Photo

The European cross contingent remained in Belgium this past weekend for the first round of the Superprestige series in Ruddervorrde. As most people expected, Zdenek Stybar rode away from the competition, bringing his undefeated streak to four, and earning maximum series points for the day. The first surprise of the day was the return of Niels Albert, who mmissed the start of the season due to a knee injury. The day’s second surprise came from Bart Aernouts—the only man able to stick with Stybar after the World Champion took-off midway through the first lap.


Stybar and Aernouts worked well together all day, with Stybar setting the bulk of the pace. On the penultimate lap though, Aernouts took off. Unfortunately for the Belgian, Stybar promptly chased him down and responded a few moments later with an attack of his own—and it stuck. Behind the leading duo, Sven Nys looked to be the strongest rider in a fairly large chase group. (A broken spoke and the resulting pit stop, cost him a shot at overall victory.) Nys would eventually shed the rest of the chase group and cross the line in third, over 40-seconds behind Aernouts.


Niels Albert’s return was a solid one for the former World Champion. He lost contact with the Nys group, but held on for seventh place. American Jonathan Page was one of nearly a dozen riders who ended-up in the second chase group, partially due to a first lap crash in the first turn. Page faded to the back of the group and ending-up fifteenth. The rest of the top-10 contained the usual cast of characters, with Steve Chainel (the winner of a stage in this season 3-Days of DePanne) the only other surprise, finishing fourth. Tom Meeusen rebounded from last week’s DNF to finish tenth.


Clearly, Zdenek Stybar is in the driver’s seat ahead of the first season’s first World Cup race in Aigle, Switzerland. Where does everyone else fall? Time to find out:


1. Zdenek Stybar (1) – Stybar continued his fabulous start to the season, with a victory even more impressive than his last. Stybar has won every race he has entered this season. As a result, he now leads the GVA Trophy, Superprestige, and has the most UCI points. While it’s too early to discount anyone, the competition is clearly a step behind the Czech.


2. Bart Aernouts (4) – Aernouts was only one man who was able to stick with Stybar for the majority of the race on Sunday. However, it was clear from the start that he was just along for the ride. Had Nys made it across the gap, I’m not sure Aernouts would have been able to beat him. Regardless, it was an impressive ride by the young Belgian—he deserves #2 for now.


3. Sven Nys (5) – The weekend prior to this one, Nys looked much like he did last year: sad, defeated, and full of excuses. He desperately wants to win a tenth Superprestige title—his third-place finish keeps him in the running. If Nys podiums on Sunday, I’ll regain full confidence in the Belgian Champion. If he drops out, I’ll have to wonder about his dedication to the sport that has made him an icon.


4. Bart Wellens (6) – Wellens rode to an impressive fifth-place in Ruddervoorde. His post race comments questioned Nys’ tactics and he placed a lot of the blame for Stybar staying away on his fellow countryman. If Wellens keeps up the hard work and maintains his good fitness, he may end up dropping Nys all together. Either way, I expect little cooperation from these two this weekend in Aigle.


5. Klaas Vantornout (2)  – It’s hard to believe that ninth-place can be considered a poor result, but considering how well Vantornout has raced this year, I’ll call it a bad day.  His first lap crash pretty much determined his fate—it will be very interesting to see how he rebounds this weekend.


6. Kevin Pauwels (3) – Pauwels was part of the large chase group that eventually splintered on the final few laps. Still, it was clear he didn’t have the legs, as he never moved to the front, and was easily dropped when Nys and Wellens upped the pace. I still hold high hopes for the young Belgian though; perhaps he’ll surprise everyone on Sunday.


7. Niels Albert (n/a) – Albert’s return was a welcome surprise as the former World Champion didn’t expect to be back until this Sunday’s World Cup race. Although Albert was never a key player in Ruddervoorde, he stuck with the chase group until the very end. A podium finish Sunday would be a surprise, but I expect Albert to be back in full force within a few weeks time.


8. Steve Chainel (n/a) – Last year Chainel competed primarily in World Cup races. He finished ninth in three rounds (Treviso, Roubaix and Zolder). His fourth-place finish in Ruddervoorde shows that he’s ready for Round 1. It will be interesting to see how he fares should he decide to race in Belgium a bit more.


9. Tom Meeusen (10) – Meeusen rebounded from last week’s disappointing round of the GVA Trophy with a solid tenth-place finish Sunday. It’s hard to believe that it’s his first year racing as an elite professional. At this point in time, it’s clear he’s not going to jump ahead of the learning curve. However, he’s strong enough to surprise a lot of people, maybe even myself.


10. Francis Mourey (7) – Mourey had a disastrous race on Sunday—he wound-up crossing the line 19th. He’s still in the rankings for two reasons. First, he’s had a phenomenal start to the season and is allowed to have a bad race once in a while. Second, Mourey always does well in the World Cup, as he will likely prove this weekend.


Dropped this week: Dieter Vanthourenhout (8) and Gerben de Knegt (9).


By now, it should be pretty clear that all eyes will be on UCI Headquarters in Aigle, Switzerland for Round 1 of the World Cup this Sunday. I have full confidence that Stybar will pick-up the victory, but the rest of the results could surprise a lot people. This weekend’s round of the World Cup is especially interesting for those of us in the US, as for the first time in a long time, there will be a full US contingent for the World Cup’s first round.


On Friday look for some insight into how UCI points work—and why there’s a flood of US riders heading to the race. (Their reasons will surprise you.) It should also be noted that there was a race today (Thursday) in Belgium, the Kermiscross in Ardooie, to provide a nice midweek form check for the bulk of Sunday’s riders.  This could be a good predictor of who’s hot and who’s not—unless some savvy riders keep their cards close to their chests.


Enjoy the weekend—and share your comments below.


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