2010 Tour de France – Stage 19 Wrap-Up

2010 Tour de France - Cancellara Wins Stage 19

Fotoreporter Sirotti

I’m certain to have missed the time cut by now, but here’s my two cents anyway:


1. Is Fabian Cancellara to Tony Martin and time trials what Alberto Contador is to Andy Schleck and the Tour de France?  Discuss.


2. Seriously though, I thought I learned my lesson the first 3 times I bet against Fabian Cancellara.  Mark my words: as soon as I pick him to win Worlds, Tony Martin will get his victory.


2010 Tour de France - Zabriskie in Stage 19

Fotoreporter Sirotti

3. While David Zabriskie didn’t finish where I predicted he would (third), he did have a heck of a good day (fifth).  Unfortunately, that seems to be about as good as it’s gonna get internationally for DZ.  He just doesn’t seem to have it anymore—nor does he seem to care.


2010 Tour de France - Menchov in Stage 19

Fotoreporter Sirotti

4. As for Denis Menchov, let’s give some credit where it’s due. He rode the first half of the season “his way”, placing all his eggs in the Tour’s basket—and it paid-off.  For a rider often known for bad luck, crashes, and bad days, he “didn’t put a foot wrong,” as Phil and Paul liked to say.  Now the big question: where does Menchov go from here?  In my opinion, the Vuelta would be a good way to end his season on a high note.  He’s won the race before and looks to be the cream of the crop given the other riders likely to start.


5. Menchov’s gain was Samuel Sanchez’s loss—despite the Spaniard’s best efforts, he dropped one spot from the podium’s final step.  For Euskaltel, it’s their best Tour finish since, well—ever.  And for a rider with two top-10’s in the Tour and four top-10’s (and two podiums) in the Vuelta, it’s time to give Sanchez the title of Best Euskaltel Rider—ever.


6. VDBeke/VDBTwee/VDB2 didn’t quite record the time I thought he would (Carlos Sastre beat him for cryin’ out loud), but he held his place, and will finish fifth in the 2010 Tour de France—the best Tour finish for a Belgian since—would someone please check that for me?  (Seriously, I’m tired of implying he’s the next Eddy Merckx.) And let me know how you find out—because I’ve been looking.


7. And speaking of Carlos Sastre, how ‘bout his day?  Sure, he only finished 48th, but look at some of the riders he bettered: Ryder Hesjedal, Nicolas Roche, Lance Armstrong, Chris Horner, Janez Brajkovic, and Jurgen Van den Broeck to name a few.  Could we be reading a bit too much into it?  Yes.  But it’s interesting to note nonetheless.


8. And finally, there are a lot of statistical analyses floating around attempting use data to prove whether or not this year’s Tour was ridden on bread and water alone.  While I appreciate the efforts, I think there is a much simpler litmus test: today’s results.  While 52 kilometers is by no means a short distance for an individual time trial, it’s by now means the longest in the last 10 years.  In my opinion, today’s time gaps speak to 2 things: the difficulty of this year’s race and the “human” performances of its competitors.


Yes, the wind changed, a contributing factor in the gaps between the specialists and the contenders, but when only one of the race’s top-10 men on GC finishes in the first 30 in the penultimate day’s time trial, that tells me something.


9. Oh, and for those of you who feel there’s no justice in the world anymore, there’s always John Gadret.


Share your comments below.

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2010 Tour de France – Stage 19 Live Blog

Come on over and join me today in today’s Live Blog for Bicycling Magazine.  I’ll be sharing duties with Joe Lindsey, Bicycling contributor and writer of The Boulder Report.

Feel free to heckle me for my picks!

Hope to see you there!

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2010 Tour de France – Stage 18 Wrap-Up & Stage 19 Predictions

2010 Tour de France - Cavendish After Stage 18 Win

Fotoreporter Sirotti

It’s funny how our opinion of certain riders changes during the course of the Tour de France.  It makes sense, though, as the Tour is the sport’s grandest stage, the perfect place for riders to reinvent themselves and careers to be resuscitated —or resurrected.


Take today’s sprint for example: Mark Cavendish won Stage 18 with another incredible display of power and speed—and he did it without the world’s fastest lead-out, Mark Renshaw.  Perhaps more importantly, Cavendish has found success in this year’s Tour with nary a quip, wisecrack, or foot in the mouth.  It appears his early season troubles and first week near-misses have given the youngster a better appreciation of all he accomplished.  And perhaps more importantly, by winning with his mouth shut, he’s enabled his one-time critics—myself included—to appreciate his talents without being distracted by his ego.


2010 Tour de France - Petacchi Reclaims Green Jersey After Stage 18

Fotoreporter Sirotti

And then there’s Alessandro Petacchi, a man on the cusp of winning his first green jersey at the ripe “old” age of 36.  If he does, Petacchi will have won the points jersey in all three grand tours, an impressive achievement.  Unfortunately for Alessandro though, the restoration of his image has been damaged by claims that he used illegal methods to prepare for this year’s event.  Should the allegations prove true, it will mean the end of Petacchi’s career—and just at the moment when he seemed to have kick-started it.


As for Thor Hushovd, he’s all but conceded the green jersey this year, maybe just a smoke screen or perhaps an admission that his talents are no longer suited to the rigors of the green jersey contention.  Whatever the case, look for Thor to start next season with a renewed sense of purpose in the classics; and don’t rule out the likelihood that he ends this year with one as well—in Melbourne at Worlds.


You had to love the composition of the day’s main break—it’s too bad we couldn’t see Matti Breschel, Daniel Oss, Jerome Pineau, and Mathieu Ladagnous fight it out for the win.  Breschel and Oss are two classics stars in the making—as to which Oss’ last-gasp attack can attest.  As for Pineau, it would have been nice to see him leave the Tour with something more than the polka dot jerseys he wore for a time during this year’s race.  And Ladagnous?  Well, another French win is always a welcome sight—especially when it comes wearing FDJ’s sensational new kit.


2010 Tour de France - T. Martin in Prologue

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Looking ahead to tomorrow, I see two main contenders for the time trial: Tony Martin and Fabian Cancellara.  Both have been rumored to be a bit sick of late and both have done a considerable amount of work for their respective teams over the past two days—but I still see them taking the first two spots on the stage.  (Just to be different, I’ll go against the grain with my pick for the win.) To round out the top-3, look for an American to take the honors—not the one most people have been preoccupied with as of late.


2010 Tour de France - Zabriskie in Prologue

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Here’s my top-5:


1. Tony Martin

2. Fabian Cancellara

3. David Zabriskie

4. Alberto Contador

5. Alexandre Vinokourov


Share your picks and comments below.


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2010 Tour de France – Stage 18 Live Blog

Come on over and join me today in today’s Live Blog for Bicycling Magazine.  I’ll be sharing duties with Joe Lindsey, Bicycling contributor and writer of The Boulder Report.

Things should get underway at about 8:30EST.

Hope to see you there!

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2010 Tour de France – Stage 17 Wrap-Up

2010 Tour de France - Schleck and Contador in Stage 17

Fotoreporter Sirotti

In the end, today’s stage was perhaps a bit anti-climatic, as first Andy Schleck and then Alberto Contador proved unable to shake the other on the Tourmalet.  Clearly, these two are the cream of this year’s Tour de France crop—and considering how only 8 seconds separetes them, we’re on the verge of one of the closest Tour finishes in recent memory.


Perhaps what’s most promising though, is the fact that the gap between these two champions has narrowed since last year’s race.  Should Schleck prove able to improve his time trialing, it’s easy to see him finishing on the top step in Paris sooner rather than later—after all, he’s only 25.


As for Contador, today’s stage marked a new phase in his maturation.  First, he used his yellow jersey clout to slow the peloton early in the stage, giving third-place rider Samuel Sanchez a chance to regain the field following a nasty fall.  But the real “champion” gesture came later, when Contador—still without a stage victory in this year’s race—offered nothing more than ceremonial opposition to Andy Schleck in the sprint for today’s stage.  There are no “gifts” in the Tour de France, but Contador’s gesture speaks volumes about how much he’s learned in the course of this year’s race.  For a rider who is only 27 himself, it was sign that he’s truly entering his prime—physically and emotionally.


This is a rivalry that should captivate us for years to come.


Here’s what else we noticed:


2010 Tour de France - Rodriguez in Stage 17

Fotoreporter Sirotti

1. Katusha’s Joaquin Rodriguez crossed the line in third-place today, springing from a select chase group to cement his place in the top-10 overall.  While we might have expected more from Katusha as a team, we can’t blame Rodriguez—a stage win and a top-10 result in Paris is an outstanding performance.


2010 Tour de France - Hesjedal in Stage 17

Fotoreporter Sirotti

2. Fourth-place on the day went to Ryder Hesjedal, a result that propelled him into eighth on GC.  Unlike last year’s GC surprise from Garmin, Hesjedal has signed a contract extension through 2013, giving him more time to build on his success in an environment he knows and trusts.


3. Samuel Sanchez, Denis Menchov, and Jurgen Van den Broeck finished fifth, sixth, and ninth today, all within 16 seconds of one another.  This trio currently occupies third through fifth on GC, with Menchov positioned to jump over Sanchez for the last spot on the final podium.  Sanchez deserves credit simply for making it to the finish of today’s stage after a nasty fall left many of us thinking he would abandon.  Here’s hoping he recovers in time to give Menchov a run for his money in Saturday’s time trial.  As for Van den Broeck, another steady ride solidified his place in the top-5.  His closest challenger is Robert Gesink—more than a minute behind.  And we know how well he time trials.


2010 Tour de France - Horner in Stage 17

Fotoreporter Sirotti

4. Chris Horner was today’s biggest surprise, riding in with the main chase group to finish eighth on the day—he now sits tenth on GC.  His performance sparks two questions: what happened to “We’re riding for Levi” and why wasn’t the team riding for Horner all along?  Too bad Radio Shack wasn’t invited to the Vuelta, as it would have been nice to see what they could have done had they the time to prepare for a grand tour without Lance.


5. One has to wonder what Carlos Sastre was thinking today—well, he was thinking he was going to bridge to the breakaway and go on to win the stage.  But was his reasoning sound?  Sastre should have waited until the bottom—the very bottom—of the Tourmalet to make his move.  Maybe then he would have had the legs to get away and stay away.


6. On second thought he might have had a tough time doing that, as Schleck’s Saxo Bank teammates harnessed their inner Daniel Navarro’s at the base of the Tourmalet, breaking almost everyone’s legs on the first 5 kilometers of the Tour’s final ascent.  It was a stunning performance for a team that was beginning to look pretty ragged.  While their efforts weren’t enough to get Andy into yellow, Bjarne’s boys can rest easy tonight knowing they did everything they could have done.


As for tomorrow, a bone-flat stage is on tap—the traditional sprint finish in Bordeaux.  With several men still in contention for the green jersey, we should have an exciting day of racing, with everything up for grabs between the two intermediate sprints and the final dash for the line.  Can Thor do enough to retain his lead?  And will Cavendish show the world he can win without Renshaw?


Share your comments below.

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2010 Tour de France – Stage 17 Live Blog

Come on over and join me today in today’s Live Blog for Bicycling Magazine.  I’ll be sharing duties with Joe Lindsey, Bicycling contributor and writer of The Boulder Report.

(And when you get there, remind Joe that we were right about Armstrong attacking today.)

Hope to see you there!

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