2011 Tour de France – What Will the Podium Look Like?

Pavé would like to thank Handspun, Clément, and Laekhouse for supporting our coverage of the 2011 Tour de France.

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Wow, what an amazing and surprising Tour de France this has been! Crashes, crashes, crashes, crashes, and more crashes. Oh yeah, and even more crashes. This year’s edition seems more dangerous that prior ones; race director Jean François Pescheux attributes it to nervousness in the peloton, but others claim poor route design, the bad weather, or the race caravan. One thing is for sure: whatever it is has taken its toll.

Before the race actually started, most talking heads believed that the winner was a matter of deciding between Alberto Contador and Andy Schleck. The only uncertainty, thus, was who would earn the final podium spot. There were plenty of contenders to chose from at the time – among them, Bradley Wiggins, Janez Brajkovic, Cadel Evans, Ivan Basso, Robert Gesink, Levi Leipheimer, Sammy Sanchez, Jurgen Van den Broeck, Chris Horner and Alexander Vinokourov. However, at the first Rest Day following Stage 9, attrition had taken it’s toll on Horner, Brajkovic, Wiggins, Vinokourov and Van den Broeck, and discounted the ambitions of Gesink and Leipheimer. Even Contador’s seemingly superhuman nature was failing. Does this mean that all bets are off? Some of Pavé’s contributors got together to collaboratively argue our vision of the podium contenders. Here’s how we think things are going to turn out in the end.

Julius:  Men in Orange Shall Impress

One Orange Squad that I thought has deserved some GC success is Rabobank. They have learned their trade in several successful Vuelta outings, and a few opportunities in the TdF. Their leader Robert Gesink has had a steady build-up to the TdF, winning Tour of Oman’s queen stage and TTT, and performing well in Dauphine’s climbing stages. As Mattio said, Rabo brought a dedicated squad to the TdF. In the absence of a dominating team in this year’s climbing stages, Gesink may be at risk of a chaotic competition, but I have faith that LL Sanchez, Carlos Barredo, Lars Boom, Laurens ten Dam, Bauke Mollema, and other Orange Men can keep it together for the steadier competition that Gesink favors. In particular, the two Spaniards Barredo and LL Sanchez have serious creds, with GT stage wins to their names. Unfortunately Gesink is faltering, and given that it is likely to be due to injury, I don’t think he is going to be able to recover. Certainly, LL Sanchez’s win on Super-Besse is sign that the squad is moving on to Plan B, and their win has reduced the pressure on them. Whether this plan B is to hunt stage wins or try and maintain Sanchez’s considerable GC gains, however, we have yet to see.

If I have to give up on that Group of Orange Men, I’ll place my pick on the Other Orange Men: Euskaltel. When this season started, I had thought it was Sammy Sanchez‘s chance to shine. He knows how to win a GT, he has a squad full of spider monkey climbing specialists, and he has dedicated himself to the quest of greatness in the TdF. Unfortunately, the sketchy and dangerous first part of the race seems to have taken a huge toll not only due to their non-existent TTT skills, but because the entire squad seems to have the bike handling skills of, well, spider monkeys. Half the squad seems to have had some injury, and they seem destined to repeat the fate of Kelme and Cafe Colombia: If they can make it to the mountains they will show their strength, but they need to survive to stage 12 to get the chance. But regardless, Sanchez himself is personally spared the worst physical damages, and given his proven longevity in a long-slog such as a 3-week GT, I believe he will shine in the final week.

 Mattio:

I had tipped BMC for a strong ride in the TTT – or, at least, I claimed to have, anyway. It’s part of the faith I’ve had in Cadel Evans ever since we saw him weep his way across the World Championships finish line in Mendrisio. Since then, he’s been confident, strong, and savvy, with wins at la Fleche Wallone and, this year, Tirreno-Adriatico and Tour de Romandie before a comfortable 2nd place at the Dauphine. He’s built for the Tour with a limited but successful racing schedule to stay fresh, and this Tour, he’s raced admirably. He’s scored his first ever Tour stage win, wore Green and Polka Dots, and has been the only one who could challenge Phillipe Gilbert on uphill sprints.

The question, of course, is can he maintain in the mountains. I’m out on a limb here, but I’ll say yes. He’s fresh from a season of limited racing; he’s got a team of roleurs that can support him until the treacherous slopes. He’s got confidence to race above his level, sourced from from two excellent seasons and a fine Tour already, as well as his own stomach full of anger to make up for his broken elbow (while in Yellow) from the 2010 Tour. Furthermore, with the attrition to the field of GC contenders taking out some of the purer climbers in the field, Evans’ early time gains will pay off down the road. Cadel Evans will stand on the podium in Paris.

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Rest Day Review: Handspun’s HED Belgium Wheels

Pavé would like to thank Handspun, Clément, and Laekhouse for supporting our coverage of the 2011 Tour de France.

Even if you’ve been living a sheltered life under some cobbled Flemish hellingen you’ve probably heard that in recent years, many wheel manufacturers have been following HED in offering an array of road wheels and racing wheels with a wider rim profile. Handspun, one of Pavé’s supporters, sent us a set of wheels to test. Handspun is a spin-off from Quality Bicycle Products, and is an expert wheelbuilding service that builds many fine sets of wheels. The wheels we rode are HED’s Novembre hubs laced to Belgium C2 rims, 24/28, laced 2-cross front and rear.

In recent years I’ve been frustrated with the high cost of repairing boutique wheelsets. Now that my rear Campagnolo Eurus has decided to break a bunch of spokes, what am I to do with a Record-quality, 21-hole hub? Meanwhile, my Mavic Ksyrium SSC SL wheels keep creaking. They can be either trued, or tensioned, but not both. Based on these frustrations, I’ve come to learn that durability is a bit of a myth, but one can approximate it with simpler gear. Thus, my initial impression is that Handspun’s HED Novembre/Belgium C2 wheelset is a fine training wheelset. Were I to break a spoke, I could replace it with something available at my local bike shop; were I to trash the rim, I could relace it to anything with 28 holes. Both Handspun and HED also offer a variety of upgrades to this basic wheelset: Handspun offers DT Swiss hubs and DT Aerolite bladed spokes, and HED offers a line of wheels with carbon hubshells, titanium bits, and fewer spokes for those willing to lay out a few more dollars.

Handspun’s wheelbuild is initially solid. As a musician (and a cyclist without a wheel tensiometer), I plucked the spokes to get an initial sense of their even tension, and gave the wheel a spin to check its true. Both were dead on. I intend to periodically check and re-check the tension and the true of these wheels as I put them through their paces this summer, on gravel-path training rides, criteriums, interval workouts, a week-long tour, and, getting into the fall, cyclocross training and racing. I’ll throw everything I’ve got at these wheels, and I’ll see what they throw back at me.

Handspun and HED both tout the many benefits of wider rims; HED is not shy in taking credit for their adoption across both the pro peloton and the industry’s many wheel companies. The literature is that when paired with a 23mm tire, the wider rims create a constant tire profile with a more even transition from the tops to the sidewalls, thus improving handling and resulting in a smoother transition from the tire to the edge of the rim, thus improving aerodynamics.

When I mounted the wheels and left the house I felt some pressure – would I even notice the difference? Wide rims have been around for a couple of years by now, but I’m a late adopter and have been riding ordinary old skinny rims. A lot of people already know what wide rims are “supposed” to feel like, but would I notice? Well, the differences between these wheels, and the Ksyriums I had been riding prior, were immediately apparent. The wide rims created a very tangible, noticeable, and positive difference in both handling and comfort. As I pointed my bike toward the trail heading out of the city, I went over some familiar ridges in the road – ones that would give my bike a solid ca-clunk(!) and cause me to lighten my grip on the handlebars lest I bruise my palms through thin bar tape. I’ve ridden this path plenty, but this time, the HED wheels’ wider rims make the bike feel as though it’s got wider tires on: they softened the impact. It felt like my stiff aluminum bike had fatter tires on it, or carbon seatstays, or just more give to it. I warmly welcomed this effect, and as I took the bike on to some of the more rotten streets and paths that I could think of – ones gouged by a winter’s worth of snowplows, or springtime flooding, or even just ones that still have cobbles on the surface (honoring the wheels’ namesake) – I felt the increased shock absorption of the wide rims.

When I met David Cory, the Handspun Brand Manager who was generous with his time and gave me a tour of Handspun’s facilities, I asked him what led him to put such an emphasis on wider rims in Handspun’s offerings. His answer was simple: “I rode them.” The benefits, he said, are obvious. I concur, and I think most riders would, too.

I followed roads to a desolate industrial park so that I could sprint around and dive into corners to see how they handle. There’s some hyperbole that wide rims make clinchers feel like tubulars. From my experience, I don’t think that’s entirely accurate, but it’s close. With good tubulars, there’s that sense that the tires are glued to the ground underneath you and when you corner, they’re still grabbing the ground as they tug your bike around the corner. These do grab the ground underneath you and feel incredibly solid, urging you to turn harder and tighter by giving that hard-to-describe sense of confidence feeding back up through the bicycle – your front wheel gets stuck in a tight-radius turn. It doesn’t feel like placebos and snake oil – rather, it makes sense. The wider rim leads to a wider tire profile, and that means more rubber on the ground. More friction when you’re turning means you turn faster, tighter, with more control.

I did some sprinting, “led out” by some gentle hills. My legs were mushy after a three-week vacation during which I mostly used my body for dancing and filtering wine. Take this with a grain of salt but I felt like I had a bit more at the top end of my speed, like I had a bit less resistance at the top end. Is this the aerodynamic advantage of the wide rims? I’m not sure – I’m not even sure if I felt what I felt (hey, maybe I had a tail wind). HED says there’s an aerodynamic benefit in a wind tunnel; if that’s true, that’s great, but quite frankly, that benefit is secondary to their marked improvement in comfort and handling over traditional rims.

The bottom line, at this point, is that I like these wheels. They’re a smart wheel, and they feel great. They’re only initial impressions for now – I’ll be keeping a diary with some rough estimates of mileage, road conditions, and the status of the wheel so that we can check in about the level of use and abuse they’ve seen, and how Handspun’s wheelbuild holds up to the ringer I’ll put them through.

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Discuss: Tour de Crash 2011?

Fotoreporter Sirotti

If there’s a topic that seems to be on everyone’s mind today, it’s all of the carnage we’ve seen at this year’s Tour de France. With the GC field significantly diminished, and a pair of absolutely ridiculous accidents caused by support vehicles, and some horrifying moments (Chris Horner’s interview; Johnny Hoogerland’s bloody arse; Alexander Vinokourov being carried back onto the road, limp-legged, by two Astana teammates),  the incidents in the first 9 stages have had a marked affect on the race.

While many feel its the crashiest tour they can remember, others have pointed out that it isn’t, statistically speaking, worse than prior editions..

It seems everyone has an explanation as to what’s to blame – jittery riders nervous because of the lack of GC separation, overly light equipment, a dangerous parcours, too many riders, too many cars. What do you think is going on? Most importantly, what should be done to fix an apparently serious problem?

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2011 Tour de France – Stage 9 Wrap-up

Pavé would like to thank Handspun, Clément, and Laekhouse for supporting our coverage of the 2011 Tour de France.

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Ouch! Today’s stage resembled a crash highlights reel, with riders experiencing ridiculous injuries due to crashes that are sure to have an impact on both the general contention and day to day racing the remainder of the tour. Here’s a quick rundown of what we saw:

1. A breakaway composed of a close to perfect set of riders in Thomas Voeckler (Europcar), Johnny Hoogerland (Vacansoleil), Luis Leon Sanchez (Rabobank), Sandy Casar (FdJ), Juan Antonio Flecha (Team Sky) and Niki Terpstra (Quick Step) managed to sneak away very early. Only Voeckler, Sanchez and Casar managed to stay away until the end. Terpstra was dropped, while Flecha and Hoogerland had their share of problems…

2. What’s up with support vehicles in the race this year? Earlier, Saxo Bank’s Nicki Sorenson was hooked by a photographer moto. Today, Flecha and Hoogerland were the victims of one of the most bizarre incidents ever seen in the tour, when a car driven by members of France 2/3 television swerved to avoid a tree, smacked in to Flecha, who in turn crashed in to Hoogerland, who went careening in to a barb wire fence. That they both got back up to finish the stage is a testament to how tough those two are. Assuming they’re still riding, they’ll both be wearing red numbers on Tuesday in reward of their joint reciept of today’s fighting spirit award. Hoogerland will also don the polka dot jersey of the mountains classification.

3. The well formed break, the chaos of the crashes, and the subsequent slow-down imposed by Garmin-Cervélo’s Thor Hushovd led to Thomas Voeckler and his break compatriots putting over 4 minutes in to the peloton, and Voeckler in the yellow jersey. Voeckler has 1:49 over Sanchez, and 2:26 over Evans. Will that be enough time to let him carry the Maillot Jaune through Thursday’s Bastille Day celebrations? He’s a better climber than he gets credit for, so we’re thinking its likely.

4. With today’s loss of Omega Pharma-Lotto’s Jurgen Van Den Broeck to a broken shoulder blade and ribs (!) and Astana’s Alexandre Vinokourov to a broken pelvis and femur (!!), the tour has lost 5 valid GC contenders. It’s beginning to seem that GC may be more a war of attrition than anything else. Vino and Van Den Broeck’s crash was a particularly unsettling one that came at the front of the peloton, a place they likely thought themselves safe from crashes. We love a good race, but be careful out there guys! We’d rather you duke it out in the mountains than leave blood all over the French countryside.

5. Did the GC contenders make a mistake by letting Sanchez go in the break today? He was 11th in the Tour de France last year, and 10th in the Vuelta. Barring the off-day in the mountains he usually experiences, could he be a serious contender at this point? Teammate Robert Gesink hasn’t been looking great, and lost a few more seconds today over some of the other favorites – will Rabobank be pondering a leadership change?

6. Anyone still unsure if Gilbert is going for the green jersey win? With Van Den Broecke out, will the team through all of its weight behind him and his quest?

7. Finally, with the loss of Van Den Broeck, Whit has gone on record as rooting for Basso. His Velogames team suggests that Basso will now abandon. We apologize in advance for anyone who selected him for their team.

With tomorrow comes a rest day for the riders, but nothing of the sort for us at Pavé! We’ll have some interesting content for you, so make sure to stop by. Don’t forget to let us know what you thought of today’s stage in comments below!

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2011 Tour de France – Stage 8 Wrap-up

Pavé would like to thank Handspun, Clément, and Laekhouse for supporting our coverage of the 2011 Tour de France.

Fotoreporter Sirotti

Wow! The first truly hilly day of the 2011 Tour de France was the first one won by a breakaway, but it was close, with Rui Costa only holding off those attacking from the peloton on the steep slope to Super-Besse by a bit over 10 seconds. Let’s see what happened on the way there:

  • Rui Costa and HTC’s young Tejay Van Garderen began trading attacks out of their four-person breakaway-remnant as early as the punultimate climb. Costa, with a few years’ experience on Van Garderen, let Tejay do much of the chasing when Europcar’s Jean Paul Gaultier and AG2R’s Christophe Riblon joined in the attacking. Cheers, though, to Tejay – 22 years old and riding in his first Tour de France, just to be attacking and fighting for the stage win is impressive. He was rewarded with the King of the Mountains jersey for his efforts.
  • The stage win is a boon for Movistar. They’ve been beset by well-publicized difficulties – foremost among them, the death of Xavier Tondo and the terrible injuries to Juan Mauricio Soler. Costa’s win today (as well as J.J. Rojas’s commendable battle with Phillipe Gilbert for the Green Jersey) must be nice for the team.
  • Astana’s Alexander Vinokourov leapt from the peloton on the Col de la Croix Saint-Robert to join Paolo Tiralongo and Juan Antonio Flecha in a committed pursuit of the breakaway up the road. Vino was in pursuit of the yellow jersey and came close, blowing through the breakaway in pursuit of Costa, but he faded on the second of the two-step climb to the finish and failed to get either. Disappointing, especially by a tactically savvy move by Astana.
  • Behind Costa, fireworks went off in the peloton on the final climb. Many of the notables were at the front: Alberto Contador, Cadel Evans, the Schleck brothers, Jurgen Van den Broeck. It was Phillipe Gilbert, though – Phillipe Gilbert! – who attacked in a huge gear and used his considerable power to blow a hole through the climb to finish second and reclaim the Green Jersey from J.J. Rojas. Behind, Cadel Evans, Samuel Sanchez, Peter Velits, Dries Devenyns, and Damiano Cunego responded for top-ten placings while Contador and the Schlecks began a staring contest that would last through the finish line. Kudos to Devenyns (he’s been close to the front on several difficult finishes this Tour and is Quick Step’s redemption this Tour) and Velits, who in a few years ago will surprise people who haven’t been paying attention to his considerable talent and potential.
  • One absent notable was Rabobank’s Robert Gesink, who was dropped on the way up. Is he affected by the crashing in recent days? Certainly, being dropped this early is not part of his plan to fight for a top 5, and he’ll suffer for losing 1:23 today. One who was notably present, on the other hand, was Lampre’s Damiano Cunego, who put in an appearance at the front of the field for the first time this Tour.
  • In an absolutely stunning display of power and determination (or, if you’re a bicycle sponsor, a display of the benefits of the latest aero road frame), Thor Hushovd hit the slopes of the final climb with the GC contenders and finished with the lead group, keeping the yellow jersey for one more day. It’s said that wearing Yellow gives one some extra strength with which to defend it – Thor’s incredible performance is proof.

From our point of view it was an incredible stage. Tomorrow’s Stage 9 features three Category 2 climbs, three Category 3 climbs, and two Category 4 climbs, which should help a breakaway stay away, possibly provide a late launching pad for some of the Tour’s puncheurs, and help those with serious GC intentions pry the yellow jersey from Thor’s mighty shoulders. With a rest day the following day, expect some fierce racing.

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The Sticky Bidon – July 8, 2011

Interesting cycling items from across the Internet, July 8, 2011

Seen any cool links we missed? Share ’em in the comments below!

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