Weekend Preview – Vuelta and Isbergues

The Vuelta wraps-up this weekend with a flat 27km time trial around the ancient city of Toledo and the traditional final stage into Madrid.

Friday’s Stage 19 was supposed to provide a last chance for GC fireworks with a summit finish in La Granja. Unfortunately, more explosions happened off the back of the lead group than at the front with Robert Gesink succumbing to his injuries from a crash a few days ago–he lost several minutes and now sits in 6th place overall, a whopping 5:30 down.

As for Saturday, look for Alejandro Valverde to hold his lead. The gaps are simply too far to his challengers; he should prove able to keep them at bay. As for the rest of the podium, Cadel Evans could leapfrog Basso and Sanchez to claim 2nd place. If he does, look for the talk to begin of “what could have been” had he not flatted on the stage to Sierra Nevada. As for Sanchez and Basso, neither should be discounted–they’ve been known to ride a good ITT when it counts.

As for the stage winner, I’m picking Frantisek Rabon to give Columbia-HTC yet another stage win. Greipel should bag them another come Sunday as well.

Moving north, one of my favorite fall races, the Grand Prix d’Isbergues takes place Sunday, with a bevy of French and Benelux teams taking the line. Look for Romain Feillu, Jimmy Casper, Yauheni Hutarovich, and Nick Nuyens to fight it out for the title. Remind me sometime to tell you the story involving me, a hungover mechanic, 7 flat tires, and Geert Van Bondt hanging-on to the side of our team car at about 70kmph–with only two of the car’s wheels on asphalt. It happened at Isbergues.

Ah the memories!

What about you? What are you looking forward to this weekend? Any picks?

Share your comments below.

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Weekend Preview – Vattenfall Cyclassics

2010 Tour Down Under - Greipel Wins Stage 1

Fotoreporter Sirotti

The Pro Tour continues its summer run with the 15th running of Hamburg, Germany’s Vattenfall Cyclassics.  Formerly, the HEW Cyclassics, the race was a World Cup event from 1998 until joining the Pro Tour in 2005.  The relatively flat race usually favors riders strong enough to make it over the small climbs that speckle the route yet fast enough to win what often amounts to a small to mid-size group sprint.  With several men eager to take their first big win of the summer, Sunday’s start list contains no shortage of popular favorites.  Let’s take a look:


1. Last year’s champion, Garmin’s Tyler Farrar returns this year to defend his title with the support of Julian Dean, Maartijn Maaskant, and Tour of Denmark runner-up Svein Tuft.  Farrar’s again looking to Hamburg for retribution following another hard-luck showing at the Tour de France—this time the result of a broken wrist sustained in the Tour’s Stage 2 carnage.  Farrar used Denmark to ease himself back into the swing of things—we’ll soon know if he’s really “back” and ready to compete again.


2. Saxo Bank brings another talented and experienced squad to Hamburg led by none other than Fabian Cancellara.  While Spartacus is always a man to watch, he and popular teammate Jens Voigt might be better suited to helping their faster colleagues Matti Breschel and the Haedo brothers win in a field sprint.  Breschel has just announced his transfer to Rabobank, the Dane is certainly eager to prove the Dutch squad spent its money wisely.  One interesting note: Frank Schleck rides Sunday, giving the Luxembourger a good day of training as he attempts to ride himself back into form in time for the Tour of Spain.


3. Team Milram could certainly use a big win—it’s beginning to look as if Gerry Van Gerwen’s carriage is about to become a pumpkin again as his search for a new title sponsor has found little success.  Germany’s Gerald Ciolek will be the team’s best chance Sunday, with Linus Gerdemann, Fabian Wegman, and Christian Knees looking for a winning breakaway.


4. Astana’s had a rough time following its successful Tour de France. Alberto Contador’s left for greener pastures at Saxo Bank and the squad has had trouble finding a replacement for its Tour superstar.  On Sunday, Allan Davis and Enrico Gasparotto head the team’s contingent, with both the Australian and the Italian outside bets to take the win should a larger select group hit the line together.


5. Team Katusha brings two former winners to the race with both Robbie McEwen (2008) and Filippo Pozzato (2005) taking the line Sunday.  While both should be considered candidates for victory watch for the Italian sprinter Danilo Napolitano—should Pozzato and McEwen put their eggs in his basket, the victory could head to Italy.


6. As for Liquigas, Francesco Chicchi is bound for Quick Step next season, but the Italian could still take an important for his team before his departure.  Hamburg is also the type of race suiting Peter Sagan’s talents.  The young Slovakian abandoned the Tour of Poland with stomach problems, but he could still prove to be a force to be reckoned with here.


7. As for Omega Pharma-Lotto’s Philippe Gilbert, we’re still a month or two away from his best fitness—he’s peaking for another crack at a world title in Australia.  The rest of his team is likely looking for summer miles in advance of their autumn engagements as well, but Jurgen Roelandts is a name to remember—he won the Belgian title a few years ago in a field sprint, and this is the right time of year for surprises.


8. Rabobank is in a situation similar to Lotto’s with Nick Nuyens and Lars Boom likely looking ahead to other events—like next week’s ENECO Tour.  Team Radio Shack is in a similar boat with Geert Steegmans the only man with a shot Sunday—and that’s iffy at best.  That said, Matt Busche took third in the Tour of Denmark—the American at least deserves mention.


9. Sunday’s real favorite might just be—no surprise here—Team HTC-Columbia.  With Andre Greipel and Matthew Goss both riding at the top of their game, the only problem for the team might be in deciding which horse to pick.


10. José Joaquin Rojas was one of the Tour de France’s most underrated, but consistent sprint finishers.  While he might be a bit out-classed by some of the competition Sunday, look for the Caisse d’Epargne rider to continue his quest for the title of “World’s Fastest Spaniard Not Named Sanchez”.


11. As for Lampre, Alessandro Petacchi takes the line hoping for more of the form that saw him take two stages and the green jersey at this year’s Tour de France.  But with whispers of doping echoing through the press room, Petacchi might end-up taking a backseat to one of his teammates.  Of them all, Danilo Hondo’s the best bet to become what would be one of the more surprising winners in the Cyclassics’ short history.


12. As for Euskaltel, I’m not counting-out Samuel Sanchez despite a course that doesn’t seem to suit him.  He won two stages and the overall at the Tour of Burgos and seems to be enjoying the form of his life.  Hamburg’s smiled upon powerful breakaway opportunists before—could this be Sanchez’s year?


13. Team Sky brings a talented roster to Hamburg, buoyed by Edvald Boasson Hagen’s win Friday in the 1.HC Dutch Food Valley Classic.  Hagen enjoyed a stellar August last year; with a talented team including Juan Antonio Flecha, Greg Henderson, and Chris Sutton, the British team has a good chance to take the win.


14. Of the wild card invites, BMC and Vacansoleil have the best rosters.  BMC brings 2007-winner Alessandro Ballan to Sunday’s race.  Ballan rode well in Poland last week—he and Markus Burghardt give the American a solid one-two punch for the finale.  As for Vacansoleil, big wins still seem to elude the Dutch team this season.  Sprinter Borut Borzic and strong man Bjorn Leukemans join Italians Marco Mancato and Alberto Ongarato in trying to earn the squad what would be one of its most important victories to date.


And my prediction?  Greipel takes the win on home turf.  Farrar, Hagen, Ballan, and one of the Haedo’s will round out the top-5.


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Weekend Preview – UPDATE

I knew it was too good to be true…

The UCI has just announced that Euskaltel’s Mikel Astarloza tested positive on June 26 for recombinant EPO. He is of course being considered innocent until proven guilty, but he certainly won’t be participating in tomorrow’s Clasica San Sebastian.

Otherwise, it casts a shadow on what had been–until this point–a clean Tour de France. Astarloza was the winner of Stage 16.

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Weekend Preview – Tour Méditerranéen


Fotoreporter Sirotti


The 2011 Tour Méditerranéen wraps-up this weekend with two stages along the sea that gives the race its name.  Saturday’s 155-kilometer trip from La Londe Les Maures to Biot presents two climbs early in the day, but they’re not enough to prevent Romain Feillu from taking his third stage and perhaps adding a few bonus seconds to his lead.  Other challengers for the victory include FDJ’s Yauheni Hutarovich, Sky’s Davide Appollonio, and Cofidis’ FDJ’s Remi Pauriol.

The real action comes Sunday with the race’s traditional queen stage ending atop Mont Faron.  The Med Tour has experimented with the placement of this stage in the past before settling on keeping the 5-kilometer, 10-12%-grade climb as the last five kilometers of the race.  Last year, Francesco Mascarelli won the stage while Alejandro Valverde took the overall (before being retroactively DQ’ed).

Rinaldo Nocentini took last year’s honors following Valverde’s DQ; he returns this year perfectly positioned to win the race outright. The Italian sits a mere 20-seconds behind Feillu, an easy gap to overcome on Faron’s steep, narrow slopes. Europcar’s Thomas Voeckler is another interesting overall candidate with a 13-second cushion over Nocentini thanks to his Stage 1 victory.

But while Nocentini and Voeckler are attractive options, my money’s on Garmin-Cervelo’s Daniel Martin.  The Irishman finished 2010 in the form of his life—he sits 20-seconds behind Feillu as well and is possibly the strongest climber in the race.  Look for him to claim his first race of 2011 on Sunday, continuing Garmin’s impressive start to the season.

Other men to watch include Cofidis’ Leonardo Duque, Garmin’s Michel Kreder, Vacansoleil’s Wouter Poels, Europcar’s Pierre Rolland, and FDJ’s Thibaut Pinot.

So who’s your pick for Sunday atop Mont Faron?  Share your comments below.

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Weekend Preview – The Vuelta, Italy, Isbergues, and US Pro

2010 Vuelta a Espana - V. Nibali After Stage 19

Fotoreporter Sirotti

The 2010 Vuelta a Espana, wraps-up this weekend with its final two stages.  Tomorrow’s Stage 20 looks to be arguably one of the toughest of the race, and with much still up for grabs—including the race’s overall title—expect fireworks.


The battle for the Vuelta’s final red jersey has narrowed to two men following Wednesday’s Stage 17 time trial: Vicenzo Nibali and Ezequiel Mosquera.  Nibali used his superior skills against the clock to effectively eliminate Joaquin Rodriguez from contention, and stole another 12-seconds from Mosquera with an attentive finish in today’s stage in Toledo.  With 50-seconds in hand, Nibali—and his Liquigas team—will need to do all they can to tire Mosquera and his Xacobeo squad early, before leaving it all up to Nibali defend himself on the final climb up the Bola del Mondo.  Roman Kreuziger will be Nibali’s key ally here.  Rumored to be one of the strongest riders in the race currently, the Czech could play a vital roll in keeping Nibali—and his lead—intact.


Behind these two, HTC’s Peter Velits looks all but assured of the final spot on the podium—making him the first rider from HTC to finish in the top-3 of a grand tour.  Further back, six men sit within 34 seconds of fourth place— Rodriguez, Schleck, Tondo, Roche, Danielson, and Sastre.  This impending battle for GC spots could help Mosquera as he’ll likely have at least one or two men willing to go on the attack; luckily for Nibali, he only has one rider to mark.


Before the race, I picked Nibali to win, so I’m going to dance with the one I came with.  But you can never doubt an aggressive Spaniard on the second-to-last day of his home tour—Mosquera could pull it off with an aggressive ride up the Bola.


As for Sunday’s Madrid promenade, look for Cavendish to take his fourth stage win of the race—if he doesn’t give it to his talented lead-out man, Matthew Goss.


In other continental action, Italy hosts two events this weekend: Saturday’s GP Citta Modena – Memorial Viviana Monservisi and Sunday’s GP Industria & Commercio di Prato.  Both races feature the usual mix of Italian racers and teams, with few major names to report.  In the end, look for Liquigas’ Francesco Chicchi to take the win Saturday and Italian Champion Giovanni Visconti to score a repeat win for ISD-Neri.


In France, Sunday brings one of my favorite autumn races, the GP Isbergues.  As expected, the bulk of the race’s start list is populated with French riders and teams—of these, BBox’s Thomas Voeckler and Vacansoleil’s Romain Feillu appear to be in the best form.  But challenges will come from several others including Rabobank’s Paul Martens, Katusha’s Sergei Ivanov, and BMC’s Alessandro Ballan.


In the end, I see Bjorn Leukemans taking the win—he’s riding well, he’s performed well here in the past, and he could use a victory to justify the squabble he started with new teammate, Ricardo Ricco.  With Feillu, Mancato, and Ricco on the roster as well, Vacansoleil has several cards to play.


And let’s not forget the Tour of Britain.  HTC seems assured of the overall victory with Micheal Albasini; tomorrow’s criterium  could Andre Greipel another victory–and his last in an HTC jersey?


Last, but certainly not least, the US Pro Time Trial and Road Championships take place this weekend with just about everyone taking part (save a few men currently racing the Vuelta).  On Saturday, look for Kelly Benefit Strategies’ Scott Zwizanski to hold-off Radio Shack’s Levi Leipheimer and Taylor Phinney for the win.  That’s a tall order indeed, but I suspect Levi could be looking ahead to Sunday and Phinney’s a little tired from the recent Tour de l’Avenir.


In the road race, while upsets are always possible in events such as these, I expect Leipheimer, his teammate Chris Horner, and defending champ George Hincapie are the men to beat—with Hincapie a suspect choice following his crash at the Tour of Utah.  For an outsider, look no further than Andrew Talansky, the recent runner-up at the Tour de L’Avenir.  In the end, I think one of the Radio shack boys takes it—particularly if Leipheimer underwhelms in the ITT 24-hours prior.


That said, the biggest drama in Greenville just might take place off the bike, as several riders taking part are rumored to be on the list Joe Papp has supposedly given to USA Cycling of riders to which he sold drugs.  As information leaks, expect to see some interesting last-minute non-starters.


So there’s a quick rundown of this weekend’s events.  Who are your picks?


Share your comments below.


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Weekend Preview – The Vuelta Heads for the Hills


2010 Vuelta Espana - Rodriguez, Nibali, and HTC Rider

Fotoreporter Sirotti


The Vuelta d’Espana continues this weekend with two difficult stages in the regions of Alicante and Valencia.  Saturday’s 190-kilometer Stage 8 includes five categorized climbs on the way from Villena to Xorret del Cati—the toughest of which (the Cat. 1 Alto Xorret del Cati) summits a mere 4 kilometers from the finish.  While not particularly long, the climb is steep and comes after what should be a long, hot day in the saddle featuring constant attacks and tempo changes.


Omega Pharma-Lotto’s Philippe Gilbert isn’t a lock to lose his red leader’s jersey, but he’ll face tough challenges from several men with aspirations to win the race overall—even though they might be better served to let Gilbert’s team maintain the responsibility of controlling the race for a few more days.



2010 Vuelta Espana - Igor Anton

Fotoreporter Sirotti



Of the men closest to Gilbert, Euskaltel’s Igor Anton and Katusha’s Joaquin Rodriguez look to be the most likely candidates for the win Saturday—for the two Spaniards, a chance to wear the red jersey is an opportunity too good to ignore.  Liquigas’ Vincenzo Nibali is another rider to consider, especially since the finish comes after 4 kilometers of descending—the Italian’s one of the best at the art of the downhill escape.



2010 Vuelta Espana - Vincenzo Nibali Descends

Fotoreporter Sirotti



Saturday should also be our first chance to see if HTC-Columbia’s Tejay Van Garderen is a true candidate for a top-5 result by the end of the 3-week grand tour.  Van Garderen’s team has several riders—including Peter Velits and Konstantin Siotsou—ready to support the young American in his GC bid.  Velits actually sits one place ahead of Tejay on GC currently; the former U23 World Champion is another rider to watch tomorrow.  And don’t forget Caisse d’Epargne’s Luis Leon Sanchez—he’s well-suited to both weekend stages.


Last but not least, tomorrow should give us our first indication as to the prospects of Rabobank’s Denis Menchov, Garmin’s Tom Danielson and Cervélo’s Carlos Sastre.  Menchov and Danielson have been sitting quietly inside the top-20, while Sastre lies just outside at more than 2-minutes behind Gilbert.  Of the three, Menchov’s the one to watch—Sastre’s already shown himself to be a step behind the rest and Danielson’s too inconsistent.  That said there are still weeks left to race with several hard days on tap—anything’s still possible.


As for Sunday’s 187-kilometer from Calpe to Alcoy, there’s no “summit finish” per se; but with seven categorized climbs on the day—six of which come densely-packed in the last 90 kilometers—expect more fireworks.  Of the two stages, Sunday’s is actually more suited to a rider like Gilbert; he could certainly take another stage win in Alcoy—especially if he loses his jersey the day before to one of the GC favorites.  Depending on Saturday’s events, Anton, Rodriguez, Sanchez, and Velits could all be men to watch Sunday as well.  And don’t rule out Rodriguez’s Russian teammate, Alexandre Kolobnev—he’s had a quiet Vuelta thus far, but the course favors a rider someone like him and there’s less GC risk in letting him into a break.


All in all, it should be a difficult, but exciting weekend of racing—for many, Monday’s rest day will be a welcome treat.


Who are your picks for the weekend?  Who will go into the first rest day wearing red?


Share your comments below.


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